
National Public Radio’s “Intelligence Squared U.S.” started in October and has been an interesting series of Oxford-style debates covering topics ranging from “Debating a Nuclear Iran” and “Hamas: Government or Terrorist Organization?” to “Is America Too Damn Religious?”
The series features a wide variety of noteworthy and often eclectic debaters - three to a side on each issue - and is held in front of an audience. Each member has opening and closing statements, along with time to debate each other, as well as answer questions from the audience. The audience is polled before and after the debate in order to determine a “winner.”
On March 22, a group gathered together to debate the question: “Global Warming Is Not a Crisis” and judging by the results, it is quite obvious that in the ultimate debate over Global Warming, we’ll all likely be losers.
Author Michael Crichton, MIT professor Richard S. Lindzen and University of London professor Philip Stott were for the motion “Global Warming is not a crisis,” while Climate scientist Brenda Ekwurzel, climate modeler Gavin Schmidt and Scripps Institution of Oceanography Richard C.J. Somerville were against the motion.
Prior to the debate, the audience’s opinion was thus: 30 percent agreed with the motion, with 57 percent against and 13 percent undecided. How those numbers changed by the end of the debate shows how the debate over Global Warming has been framed, as well as the overwhelming amount of work over convincing the public at large that Global Warming is a serious issue, and that changes need to be made.
Schmidt’s opening statement shined a light on the unholy relationship between science and politics.
“Particularly when scientific results are perceived to have economic or moral implications, it’s common for political debates to get shifted into the scientific arena. It makes the political argument seem much more scientific, and therefore logical. But since the basic disagreement is still political, this is a disaster for any kind of action.
Let me give you a few examples of how that works - creationists have argued that the eye is too complex to have evolved. Not because they care about the evolution of eyes, but because hey see the implications of evolution as somehow damaging to their world view. If you demonstrate the evolution of eyes, their world view won’t change, they’ll just move on to something else.
Another example, when CFCs from aerosol cans and air conditioners were found to be depleting the ozone layer, the CEO of DuPont, the main manufacturer, argued that because CFCs were heavier than air, they couldn’t possibly get up to the ozone layer, so there was no need to regulate them. That was pure fantasy, but it sounded scientific. …
… These arguments are examples of pseudo-debates - scientific-sounding viewpoints that are designed not to fool the experts, but to sew confusion and doubt in the mind of the lay public. This is a deliberate strategy, and you’re hearing it tonight.”
As the debate progressed, an audience member asked a question, framing it in such a way as to show that this deliberate strategy of the politically motivated has been a resounding success.
“My name is Heather Higgins, I’m not a scientist, so pardon my ignorance when I hear ‘the scientific establishment believes in something’ I immediately think of flat-earth consensus, and the fact that there’s no geography that should be admitted as science, and that women are all hysterics not to be bled. So that assurance that the scientific community believes something does not take me very far.”
Crichton, who literally spent the majority of his speaking time arguing that the world needs to help those in poverty instead of battling Global Warming, was the last to give a closing statement on the issue.
“There is a time when I worked in a clinic and one day a young woman came in. She was in her early 20s and in for a routine checkup, I said ‘what’s going on with you?’ and she said ‘I’ve just become blind,’ and I said, ‘Oh my gosh, when did this happen?” and she said “just coming to the clinic, just walking up the steps to the clinic, I became blind.’ And I said ‘oh’ and by now I’m looking through the chart and I said ‘well, has this happened before?’ and she said ‘yes, it’s happened before, I’ve become blind in the past.’
What she had, of course, was hysterical blindness, and the characteristic of that is that the severity of the symptom is not matched by the emotional response that’s being presented. Most people would be screaming about that, but she was very calm, ‘oh yes, I’m blind again.’ And I’m reminded of that whenever I hear whether you want to call it a crisis or not, a significant global event of importance where we’re going to have species loss and so on and so forth, but that we can address this by changing our light bulbs. Or that we can really make an impact by unplugging our appliances or not using them.
It’s very much out of whack. And so if we’re going to only do symbolic actions, I would like to suggest a few symbolic actions that might really mean something. One of them is very simple, 99 percent of the American population doesn’t care, is to ban private jets. Nobody needs to fly in them, ban them now (applause). And in addition, let’s have the NIDC, the Sierra Club and Greenpeace make it a rule that all of their members cannot fly on private jets, they must take their houses off the grid, they must live in a way that they’re telling everyone else to live. And if they won’t do that, why should we? And why should we take them seriously?”(applause)
The truly disturbing part of it all? Upon polling the audience following the debate, here is how the numbers changed: 46 percent agreed with the motion, with 42 percent opposed and 12 percent undecided.
So while we are bemused at the audience member’s extremist lack of trust of scientists, and while we scoff at Crichton’s rambling non-sequiturs, keep in mind one vital thing that this meeting of the minds taught us - they are winning this debate. And if the public can be so easily swayed on whether or not Global Warming is actually a problem by a barrage of logical fallacies, then what hope is there to actually slow it down or stop it?
Click here to listen to the debate in full.
crossposted at Shakesville
–WKW